Mortality forecast

Warning: Some countries / regions might have extreme trajectories (typically mild trajectories) with respect to those of the predicting countries / regions that are used. In such cases, the mixture probabilities and the forecast using only real-life predictors must be considered with caution and a parametric predictor can be incorporated to the mixture (just tick the corresponding box).

Associated Paper

Soubeyrand S. Ribaud M., Baudrot V., Allard D., Pommeret D., Roques L. (2020) The current COVID-19 wave will likely be mitigated in the second-line European countries.


Source of raw data

Data are provided by Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU CSSE): and The Covid Tracking Project

An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time: Lancet Article

Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering: Link to source files

Covid Tracking Project: Link to source files

Gitlab project page

Access to gitlab project page

Please report any issue to this link