Warning: Some countries / regions might have extreme trajectories (typically mild trajectories) with
respect to those of the predicting countries / regions that are used. In such cases, the mixture
probabilities and the forecast using only real-life predictors must be considered with caution and
a parametric predictor can be incorporated to the mixture (just tick the corresponding box).
COVID-19 mortality dynamics: The future modelled as a (mixture of) past(s) (2020)
Soubeyrand S., Ribaud M., Baudrot V., Allard D., Pommeret D. and Roques L.
A parsimonious model for spatial transmission and heterogeneity in the COVID-19 propagation (2020)
Roques L., Bonnefon O., Baudrot V., Soubeyrand S. and Berestycki H.
The current COVID-19 wave will likely be mitigated in the second-line European countries (2020)
Soubeyrand S., Ribaud M., Baudrot V., Allard D., Pommeret D., Roques L.
Source of raw data
An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time: Lancet Article
Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering: Link to source files
Covid Tracking Project: Link to source files